The latest statewide survey from Public Policy Polling has the two biggest Republicans on the ticket leading by small margins.
State Sen. Bill brady is leading Gov. Pat Quinn by five points, 45-40. State Rep. Mark Kirk is leading State Treasurer Alexi Giannoulias 46-42. Notable is the survey result that Quinn is getting 75 percent of the Democratic vote and Giannoulias 78. Both have been making strong appeals to the party's base with scant effect. Brady, meanwhile, has been stumping away from his downstate stronghold, and Kirk has been making strong centrist plays in his last two debates.
The prevailing electoral weather doesn't favor the Democrats either, according to PPP. Independents are leaning towards the GOP, as Kirk leads Giannoulias 46-31 with non-affiliated voters and Brady has a 45-27 advantage over Quinn.
Meanwhile, Republicans are much more aligned with their candidates than Democrats are. 87% of self-identified GOP voters are planning to vote for Kirk. Only 78% of Democrats are planning to vote for Giannoulias.
In the Governor's race 86% of Republicans support Brady while Quinn's only getting 75% support from his party.